Decompose
Apply a continuous wavelet transform to observed and forecast precipitation.
WQM · Wavelet-based Quantile Mapping
WQM post-processes precipitation forecasts in the time-frequency domain, correcting amplitude distributions at individual scales before reconstructing an ensemble of rainfall forecasts.
Methodology
Apply a continuous wavelet transform to observed and forecast precipitation.
Use quantile mapping to correct the wavelet amplitude distribution at each scale.
Preserve corrected structure while phase shuffling represents timing uncertainty.
Invert the adjusted time-frequency fields into an ensemble of precipitation forecasts.
Online demonstration
Switch between the two bundled rainfall stations and compare observations, raw forecasts, deterministic bias correction and five ensemble members over the held-out half of each record.
QDM · Morlet CWT · 50/50 calibration/validation split · 0.1 precipitation threshold · M2 phase shuffling · block size 3 · seed 2021.
Software and publication
Install the complete package for custom data, alternative settings and reproducible analysis.
GitHub ↗ · CRAN ↗A New Method for Postprocessing Numerical Weather Predictions Using Quantile Mapping in the Frequency Domain.
Read the method paper ↗Compare corrected precipitation forecasts and ensemble members without uploading data or starting a server-side job.